7073.8 Step 8: Address Estimation Uncertainty and Test Disclosures
Sep-2020

Determine Whether Management Has Taken Appropriate Steps to Understand and Address Estimation Uncertainty

CAS Requirement

In applying the requirements of paragraph 22, the auditor’s further audit procedures shall address whether, in the context of the applicable financial reporting framework, management has taken appropriate steps to (CAS 540.26):

(a) Understand estimation uncertainty; and
(b) Address estimation uncertainty by selecting an appropriate point estimate and by developing related disclosures about estimation uncertainty.

When, in the auditor’s judgment based on the audit evidence obtained, management has not taken appropriate steps to understand or address estimation uncertainty, the auditor shall (CAS 540.27):

(a) Request management to perform additional procedures to understand estimation uncertainty or to address it by reconsidering the selection of management's point estimate or considering providing additional disclosures relating to the estimation uncertainty, and evaluate management's response(s) in accordance with paragraph 26;
(b) If the auditor determines that management's response to the auditor's request does not sufficiently address estimation uncertainty, to the extent practicable, develop an auditor's point estimate or range in accordance with paragraphs 28‑29; and
(c) Evaluate whether a deficiency in internal control exists and, if so, communicate in accordance with CAS 265.

CAS Guidance

Management’s Steps to Understand and Address Estimation Uncertainty

Relevant considerations regarding whether management has taken appropriate steps to understand and address estimation uncertainty may include whether management has (CAS 540.A109):

a. Understood the estimation uncertainty, through identifying the sources, and assessing the degree of inherent variability in the measurement outcomes and the resulting range of reasonably possible measurement outcomes;
b. Identified the degree to which, in the measurement process, complexity or subjectivity affect the risk of material misstatement, and addressed the resulting potential for misstatement through applying:

i. Appropriate skills and knowledge in making accounting estimates; and
ii. Professional judgment, including by identifying and addressing susceptibility to management bias; and

c. Addressed estimation uncertainty through appropriately selecting management’s point estimate and related disclosures that describe the estimation uncertainty.

The Selection of Management’s Point Estimate and Related Disclosures of Estimation Uncertainty

Matters that may be relevant regarding the selection of management’s point estimate and the development of related disclosures about estimation uncertainty include whether (CAS 540.A110):

  • The methods and data used were selected appropriately, including when alternative methods for making the accounting estimate and alternative sources of data were available.
  • Valuation attributes used were appropriate and complete.
  • The assumptions used were selected from a range of reasonably possible amounts and were supported by appropriate data that is relevant and reliable.
  • The data used was appropriate, relevant and reliable, and the integrity of that data was maintained.
  • The calculations were applied in accordance with the method and were mathematically accurate.
  • Management’s point estimate is appropriately chosen from the reasonably possible measurement outcomes.
  • The related disclosures appropriately describe the amount as an estimate and explain the nature and limitations of the estimation process, including the variability of the reasonably possible measurement outcomes.

Relevant considerations for the auditor regarding the appropriateness of management’s point estimate, may include (CAS 540.A111):

  • When the requirements of the applicable financial reporting framework prescribe the point estimate that is to be used after consideration of the alternative outcomes and assumptions, or prescribes a specific measurement method, whether management has followed the requirements of the applicable financial reporting framework.
  • When the applicable financial reporting framework has not specified how to select an amount from reasonably possible measurement outcomes, whether management has exercised judgment, taking into account the requirements of the applicable financial reporting framework.

Relevant considerations for the auditor regarding management’s disclosures about estimation uncertainty include the requirements of the applicable financial reporting framework, which may require disclosures (CAS 540.A112):

  • That describe the amount as an estimate and explain the nature and limitations of the process for making it, including the variability in reasonably possible measurement outcomes. The framework also may require additional disclosures to meet a disclosure objective.
  • About significant accounting policies related to accounting estimates. Depending on the circumstances, relevant accounting policies may include matters such as the specific principles, bases, conventions, rules and practices applied in preparing and presenting accounting estimates in the financial statements.
  • About significant or critical judgments (for example, those that had the most significant effect on the amounts recognized in the financial statements) as well as significant forward‑looking assumptions or other sources of estimation uncertainty.

In certain circumstances, additional disclosures beyond those explicitly required by the financial reporting framework may be needed in order to achieve fair presentation, or in the case of a compliance framework, for the financial statements not to be misleading.

The greater the degree to which an accounting estimate is subject to estimation uncertainty, the more likely the risks of material misstatement will be assessed as higher and therefore the more persuasive the audit evidence needs to be to determine, in accordance with paragraph 35, whether management’s point estimate and related disclosures about estimation uncertainty are reasonable in the context of the applicable financial reporting framework, or are misstated (CAS 540.A113).

If the auditor’s consideration of estimation uncertainty associated with an accounting estimate, and its related disclosure, is a matter that required significant auditor attention, then this may constitute a key audit matter (CAS 540.A114).

When Management Has Not Taken Appropriate Steps to Understand and Address Estimation Uncertainty

When the auditor determines that management has not taken appropriate steps to understand and address estimation uncertainty, additional procedures that the auditor may request management to perform to understand estimation uncertainty may include, for example, consideration of alternative assumptions or the performance of a sensitivity analysis (CAS 540.A115).

In considering whether it is practicable to develop a point estimate or range, matters the auditor may need to take into account include whether the auditor could do so without compromising independence requirements. This may include relevant ethical requirements that address prohibitions on assuming management responsibilities (CAS 540.A116).

If, after considering management’s response, the auditor determines that it is not practicable to develop an auditor’s point estimate or range, the auditor is required to evaluate the implications for the audit or the auditor’s opinion on the financial statements in accordance with paragraph 34 (CAS 540.A117).

OAG Guidance

The requirements of CAS 540 paragraphs 26 and 27 to consider whether management has taken appropriate steps to understand and address estimation uncertainty only apply when our audit approach is based on testing how management made the accounting estimate. These requirements do not apply in other circumstances, principally for the following reasons:

  • Obtaining audit evidence from events occurring up to the date of the auditor’s report typically only provides sufficient appropriate audit evidence to address the risks of material misstatement in circumstances where such events sufficiently reduce or eliminate the estimation uncertainty that existed at the point of measurement of the accounting estimate (see example in CAS 540.A91); and

  • We typically develop an auditor’s point estimate or range (see example in CAS 540.A118) when we have already determined that management has not taken appropriate steps to understand or address the estimation uncertainty, either as a result of our risk assessment procedures or after initially attempting to test how management made the accounting estimate.

As noted in OAG Audit 7072, some financial reporting frameworks include specific and general requirements to disclose information about the assumptions management makes about the future, and other major sources of estimation uncertainty at the end of the reporting period. Examples of these types of disclosures include:

  • The disclosure of assumptions and other sources of estimation uncertainty that management considers to have a significant risk of resulting in a material adjustment to the carrying amounts of assets and liabilities within the next financial year. Such requirements may be described using terms such as key sources of estimation uncertainty or critical accounting estimates.

  • The disclosure of the range of possible outcomes and the assumptions used in determining the range.

  • The disclosure of information regarding the significance of fair value accounting estimates to the entity’s financial position and performance.

  • Qualitative disclosures, such as the exposures to risks and how they arise; the entity’s objectives, policies, and procedures for managing the risk; and the methods used to measure the risk, and any changes from the previous period of these qualitative concepts.

  • Quantitative disclosures, such as the extent to which the entity is exposed to risk, based on information provided internally to the entity’s key management personnel, including credit risk, liquidity risk, and market risk.

We base our determination of whether management has taken appropriate steps to understand and address estimation uncertainty, including by developing related disclosures about estimation uncertainty, on the further audit procedures performed over:

We also consider whether any additional procedures are considered necessary to obtain the audit evidence needed to make this determination. This would include procedures to obtain sufficient appropriate audit evidence about the completeness, accuracy and appropriateness of disclosures. Refer to OAG Audit 9030 for additional guidance.

An example of a circumstance in which we are likely to conclude that management has not taken appropriate steps to understand and address estimation uncertainty would be when we identify a material misstatement related either to the recorded amount of an accounting estimate or a disclosure about conditions that impact estimation uncertainty, such as significant or critical judgments.

Related Guidance

See OAG Audit 8015 for additional guidance when considering communicating our determination that management has not taken appropriate steps to understand or address estimation uncertainty as a key audit matter. See OAG Audit 2220 for additional guidance on evaluating deficiencies in internal control.

Test Disclosures (Other than those related to Estimation Uncertainty that are discussed in previous section)

CAS requirement

The auditor shall design and perform further audit procedures to obtain sufficient appropriate audit evidence regarding the assessed risks of material misstatement at the assertion level for disclosures related to an accounting estimate, other than those related to estimation uncertainty addressed in paragraphs 26(b) and 29(b) (CAS 540.31).

CAS Guidance

When the auditor’s further audit procedures include testing how management made the accounting estimate or developing an auditor’s point estimate or range, the auditor is required to obtain sufficient appropriate audit evidence about disclosures that describe estimation uncertainty in accordance with paragraphs 26(b) and 29(b) and other disclosures in accordance with paragraph 31. The auditor then considers the audit evidence obtained about disclosures as part of the overall evaluation, in accordance with paragraph 35, of whether the accounting estimates and related disclosures are reasonable in the context of the applicable financial reporting framework, or are misstated (CAS 540.A141).

OAG Guidance

As noted in OAG Audit 7072, financial reporting frameworks typically include specific, sometimes extensive, disclosure requirements related to different types of accounting estimates, and some entities may disclose voluntarily additional information in the notes to the financial statements. These disclosures may include, for example:

  • The method of estimation used, including any applicable model(s);

  • The basis for the selection of the method of estimation;

  • The effect of any changes to the method of estimation from the prior period;

  • The nature of assumptions and data used and details of any use of forward‑looking information; or

  • The sources and implications of estimation uncertainty (see the section Determine Whether Management Has Taken Appropriate Steps to Understand and Address Estimation Uncertainty above).

Such disclosures are relevant to users in understanding the accounting estimates recognized or disclosed in the financial statements, and sufficient appropriate audit evidence needs to be obtained about whether the disclosures are in accordance with the requirements of the applicable financial reporting framework.

The applicable financial reporting framework may include general requirements for the financial statements to include disclosures that enable a user to understand the effect of material transactions and events on the financial statements. In assessing whether the accounting estimate and related disclosures are reasonable within the context of the financial reporting framework, we evaluate whether these requirements have been met. For example, in respect of disclosures around management’s expected credit loss model, we might consider whether the financial statements include:

  • A clear explanation for complex areas;

  • An appropriate combination of qualitative and quantitative disclosures;

  • Disclosures consistent with our understanding of the entity’s operations, the estimation process for expected credit losses and the credit quality of financial instruments;

  • A clear description of the sources of credit risk;

  • A description of the key assumptions made in estimating the expected credit loss and judgments made by the entity in that process; and

  • A clear description of management’s view of the major sources of estimation uncertainty in the expected credit loss estimate.

The audit evidence we obtain over disclosures related to accounting estimates forms an element of our basis for determining whether the accounting estimates and related disclosures are reasonable in the context of the applicable financial reporting framework, or are misstated, as considered further in OAG Audit 7073.10.

We design and perform procedures to obtain sufficient appropriate audit evidence about the completeness, accuracy and appropriateness of disclosures related to accounting estimates. Refer to OAG Audit 9030 for additional guidance.

Responses to the Assessed Risk of Material Misstatement—Scalability

OAG Guidance

The table below illustrates how our responses to the assessed risks of material misstatement will differ for different types of accounting estimates, based on several factors, including the nature of the estimate and the assessed inherent risk factors. The example accounting estimates used align with those included in the section Obtaining an Understanding of Accounting Estimates—Scalability in OAG Audit 7073.1 and the section Assessing Inherent Risk—Scalability in OAG Audit 7073.3 which provide an illustration of how the nature and extent of the procedures we perform to obtain an understanding of these accounting estimates and to assess inherent risk will vary depending on their nature.

Note that the illustration below focuses only on selected elements of the further audit procedures we are required to perform to respond to assessed risks in accordance with CAS 540. The illustrations are included for reference purposes only and the nature, timing and extent of procedures performed for similar accounting estimates will differ based on engagement‑specific facts and circumstances. Furthermore, they are not intended to represent examples of audit documentation but instead a directional indication of the nature and extent of further audit procedures that are to be performed for accounting estimates with differing inherent risks of misstatement.

PP&E—Depreciation expense Net realizable value of inventory Provision for litigation PP&E—Recoverable amount
Nature of accounting estimate

Depreciation expense for plant and machinery and office equipment calculated on a straight‑line basis using estimated useful economic lives and residual values.

Estimated net realizable value of inventory, measured at the product level.

Estimated damages and costs payable in association with a legal claim.

Estimate of recoverable amount of specialized assets to assess whether an impairment loss exists.

Assessed level of inherent risk (also reflecting magnitude of potential misstatement)

Normal—Lower

(Based on low assessments of estimation uncertainty, complexity, subjectivity and other inherent risk factors)

Elevated

(Based on moderate assessments of estimation uncertainty, subjectivity and an other inherent risk factor resulting from susceptibility to management bias)

Elevated

(Based on moderate assessments of estimation uncertainty, subjectivity and an other inherent risk factor resulting from susceptibility to management bias)

Significant

(Based on high assessments of estimation uncertainty, subjectivity and an other inherent risk factor resulting from changes in the entity’s environment during the period due to the emergence of new technologies amongst competitors).

Step 3—Determine audit approach for testing estimate

Test how management made the estimate by performing substantive analytical procedures.

The selected approach was based on a determination that using a substantive analytical approach to perform a reasonableness test of the reported depreciation charge for the period is considered a suitable procedure for the relevant assertions.

(Note that in performing substantive analytical procedures in accordance with CAS 520, including our four step process addressed in global OAG Audit 7033, it will also be necessary to address the requirements of CAS 540 when testing how management made the estimate, including those regarding methods, significant assumptions and data.)

Test evidence from events occurring up to the date of our audit report combined with testing how management made the estimate by performing a test of details.

The decision to select this approach was based on a number of factors, including:

  • evidence from events occurring up to the date of our audit report for those products where there is enough sales activity to provide sufficient appropriate audit evidence; and

  • our review of the outcome of similar accounting estimates made in previous periods suggests that management’s current period process for estimating net realizable value of inventory is appropriate.

Test how management made the estimate by performing a test of details.

The decision to select this approach was based on a number of factors, including:

  • evidence from events occurring up to the date of our audit report is not expected to provide sufficient appropriate audit evidence for this estimate given the legal claim is not expected to be resolved before the date of the audit report;

  • our review of the outcome of similar accounting estimates made in previous periods suggests that management’s current period process is appropriate; and

  • the applicable financial reporting framework specifies how management is expected to make the accounting estimate.

Test how management made the estimate by performing a test of details.

The decision to select this approach was based on a number of factors including:

  • evidence from events occurring up to the date of our audit report is not expected to provide sufficient appropriate audit evidence for this estimate;

  • our review of similar accounting estimates made in previous periods suggests that management’s current period process is appropriate;

  • the applicable financial reporting framework specifies how management is expected to make the accounting estimate; and

  • the approach is expected to be more effective/practicable than developing an auditor’s independent point estimate or range estimate.

Step 4—Test Method(s)

Determined that the straight‑line method applied by management is permitted by the applicable financial reporting framework (e.g., IAS 16) and is appropriate in the circumstances.

Determined whether the calculations are applied in accordance with the method and are mathematically accurate.

The model used to calculate the straight‑line depreciation was not considered to be a complex model.

Determined whether a write down to reduce the carrying amount of inventory is necessary by calculating a write down based on reductions in sale prices of product types or inventory lines. No method is prescribed by the IAS 2, but the approach is consistent with the standard measurement requirements.

Determined whether the calculations are applied in accordance with the method and are mathematically accurate.

The model used to calculate the potential write down was not considered to be a complex model.

Determined that the most likely outcome method applied by management is permitted by the applicable financial reporting framework (e.g., IAS 37) and is appropriate in the circumstances.

Determined whether the calculations are applied in accordance with the method and are mathematically accurate.

The model used to calculate the most likely outcome was not considered to be a complex model.

Determined whether the value‑in‑use calculation method used by management was selected, designed and applied in accordance with the applicable financial reporting framework.

Determined whether the calculations are applied in accordance with the method and are mathematically accurate.

As we determined the discounted cash flow model used to estimate value‑in‑use to represent a complex model, performed appropriate additional procedures, including:

  • testing model validation procedures implemented by management; and

  • specific procedures related to any adjustments made to the output of the model.

Step 5—Test Significant Assumptions

The single significant assumption was determined to be the useful economic lives ("UEL") of the property, plant and equipment (residual values were determined to not be a significant assumption on the basis that management assumes zero residual values which was determined to be reasonable based on our testing of residual values performed in prior audits).

Based on the fact that the entity had a small number of asset classes and a single UEL is assigned to each asset class, evaluation of the reasonableness of UELs was performed at an asset class level.

Evaluated the appropriateness of each of the significant assumptions used in calculating the net realizable value of inventory, including:

  • estimated selling prices based on forecasted demand and expected market conditions;

  • forecasts of demand based on the historical patterns; and

  • estimated costs of completion, disposal and transportation.

Determined whether the significant assumptions are consistent with each other and those used in other accounting estimates.

Evaluated the appropriateness of each of the significant assumptions used in the model, including:

  • settlement and legal costs expected to be paid in the event of a range of different litigation outcomes; and

  • assessed probabilities of different outcomes.

Determined whether the significant assumptions are consistent with each other and those used in other accounting estimates.

Evaluated the appropriateness of each of the significant assumptions used in the discounted cash flow model, including:

  • projected growth rates;

  • discount rates;

  • working capital requirement assumptions; and

  • capital expenditure assumptions.

Determined whether the significant assumptions are consistent with each other and those used in other accounting estimates.

Step 6—Test data

Performed detailed testing of the historic cost data used in the depreciation expense for a selection of assets, by agreeing the amount back to the asset register over which we had separately performed completeness and accuracy testing procedures (e.g., additions testing).

No significant data sources were identified as being used in the development of the significant assumption regarding UEL.

Performed detailed testing of the data used by management in estimating the write down of inventory, including the inventory cost and quantity, purchase or manufacturing date, selling prices and quantities (historical, expected or actual sales) and industry or market data which demonstrates that there may be a reduction in future demand.

Performed detailed testing over the data used by management’s legal expert in estimating the most likely outcome, including agreeing this information to legal correspondence and other supporting documents.

Performed detailed testing of whether the data used in the model was appropriate in the context of the applicable financial reporting framework, was relevant and reliable and, if applicable, that changes in the data used from the prior period were appropriate. The data tested included, among others, the following types of data:

  • Historical cash flows

  • Historical asset book values

  • Enacted tax rates

  • Risk-free interest rates used in the development of the discount rate assumptions

Determined whether the data used had been appropriately understood and interpreted by management, including with respect to contractual terms.

Step 7—Evaluate work of specialists and experts

No use was made of the work of any specialists or experts.

No use was made of the work of any specialists or experts.

Inspected correspondence and professional opinions provided to the entity by its legal counsel (management’s expert). Evaluated the capabilities and objectivity of the expert and evaluated the appropriateness of their work, testing methods, significant assumptions and data used by the expert in Steps 4–6 above.

Reviewed the memorandum prepared by the valuation specialist (involved in a completing role as described in the section Considerations and responsibilities of specialists in accounting or auditing in OAG Audit 3101), evaluated the relevance and reasonableness of the specialist’s findings, performed follow‑up actions required on outstanding issues raised by the specialist and determined that final versions of the agreed deliverables (e.g., memoranda and any supporting schedules prepared by specialists) were included within the audit workpapers.

Step 8—Management’s Selection of a Point Estimate and Related Disclosures about Estimation Uncertainty

Based on the testing performed, concluded whether management had taken appropriate steps to understand and address estimation uncertainty.

No specific disclosures related to estimation uncertainty arising from the calculation were included by management on the basis that management did not consider it to be a significant area of estimation uncertainty.

Based on the testing performed, concluded whether management had taken appropriate steps to understand and address estimation uncertainty.

As management included specific financial statement disclosures regarding the uncertainties associated with fluctuations of price, cost or demand, evaluated whether the disclosures demonstrate that management has appropriately understood and that the disclosures adequately describe estimation uncertainty.

Based on testing performed, concluded whether management had taken appropriate steps to understand and address estimation uncertainty.

As management included specific financial statement disclosures regarding the uncertainties associated with the amount and timing of outflows, evaluated whether the disclosures demonstrate that management has appropriately understood and that the disclosures adequately describe estimation uncertainty.

Based on the testing performed, concluded whether management had taken appropriate steps to understand and address estimation uncertainty.

As management included specific financial statement disclosures describing the estimation uncertainty associated with their impairment evaluation process (e.g., disclosure of the range of possible outcomes and the assumptions used in determining the range), evaluated whether the disclosures demonstrate that management has appropriately understood and that the disclosures adequately describe the estimation uncertainty.

Step 8—Test disclosures (Other than those related to Estimation Uncertainty)

Detailed testing of the disclosures related to depreciation expense required by the applicable financial reporting framework (e.g., useful economic lives used) was performed.

Detailed testing of the disclosures related to net realizable value of inventory required by the applicable financial reporting framework

(e.g., write‑down of inventories recognized as an expense in the period) was performed.

Detailed testing of the disclosures related to provisions (e.g., movement schedule showing opening and closing carrying amount and movements in the period) was performed.

Detailed testing of the disclosures related to impairment and, where applicable, fair value disclosures required by the applicable financial reporting framework

(e.g., for each asset or cash‑generating unit for which an impairment loss has been recognized or reversed during the period, disclosure of the recoverable amount and of whether the recoverable amount is its fair value less costs of disposal or its value in use) was performed.